Team Blitz India
The rainfall over the country during monsoon season (June to September) is very likely to be above normal. Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Dr M. Ravichandran said the forecast is based on both dynamical and statistical models, and it suggests above normal rainfall is likely over most part of the country except some areas of Northwest, East and Northeast India, where below normal rainfall is likely.
He told media that the expected La Nina, positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and below normal snow cover over northern hemisphere would be favourable for rainfall during southwest monsoon season 2024.
Dr Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, DG, IMD, said currently moderate El Niño conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific region and the climate model forecasts indicate neutral condition by the beginning of monsoon season and La Niña conditions during second half of monsoon season. He further said that at present neutral IOD conditions are prevailing and climate model forecast indicate positive IOD conditions likely to develop during the monsoon season.